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中国临床研究英文版:2026,39(5):687-691
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血清TIM-3、PON-1、GDF-15对老年脓毒症患者不良预后的预测价值
(徐州医科大学附属连云港医院 连云港市第一人民医院检验科, 江苏 连云港 222002)
Predictive value of serum TIM-3,PON-1,and GDF-15 for poor prognosis in elderly sepsis patients
(Department of Laboratory,The Affiliated Lianyungang Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University,The First People's Hospital of Lianyungang,Lianyungang,Jiangsu 222002,China)
摘要
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Received:August 21, 2025   Published Online:May 22, 2026
中文摘要: 目的 探讨T细胞免疫球蛋白黏蛋白分子3(TIM-3)、对氧磷酶1(PON-1)、生长分化因子15(GDF-15)在老年脓毒症患者血清中的水平及其与预后不良的关系。方法 回顾性选取2022年10月至2024年10月于连云港市第一人民医院就诊的128例老年脓毒症患者为研究对象(脓毒症组)。根据病情程度分为普通脓毒症组(50例)和脓毒症休克组(78例),根据28 d生存情况分为生存组(77例)和死亡组(51例);同期纳入119例体检人群作为健康对照组。采用酶联免疫吸附法检测脓毒症组患者入院24 h内和健康对照组体检当日血清TIM-3、PON-1、GDF-15水平;采用多因素logistic回归分析筛选影响因素;绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析各指标对预后的预测价值,曲线下面积(AUC)比较采用Z检验。结果 脓毒症组血清TIM-3、GDF-15水平高于健康对照组,PON-1水平低于健康对照组(P<0.01);脓毒症休克组血清TIM-3、GDF-15水平高于普通脓毒症组,PON-1水平低于普通脓毒症组(P<0.01)。死亡组急性生理学与慢性健康状况评估Ⅱ(APACHEⅡ)评分、序贯器官衰竭评估(SOFA)评分、TIM-3、GDF-15高于生存组(P<0.05),PON-1低于生存组(P<0.05)。TIM-3、GDF-15升高是老年脓毒症患者死亡的独立危险因素(OR =3.167,95%CI:1.604~6.252,P=0.001;OR =2.942,95%CI:1.411~6.135,P=0.004),PON-1增高是老年脓毒症患者死亡的保护因素(OR =0.756,95%CI:0.631~0.905,P=0.002)。TIM-3、PON-1、GDF-15单独和三者联合预测死亡的 AUC 分别为 0.830、0.826、0.828 和 0.950,联合检测的 AUC 高于三指标单一预测的 AUC(P<0.05)。结论 血清TIM-3、PON-1、GDF-15水平是老年脓毒症患者死亡的影响因素,联合检测对患者死亡风险有较高的预测价值。
Abstract:Objective To investigate the serum levels of T-cell immunoglobulin and mucin- containing molecule-3(TIM-3),paraoxonase-1(PON-1),and growth differentiation factor-15(GDF-15)in elderly sepsis patients and their relationship with poor prognosis. Methods A total of 128 elderly sepsis patients who visited the First People's Hospital of Lianyungang between October 2022 and October 2024 were retrospectively selected as the research subjects(sepsis group). All patients were assigned into a simple sepsis group(n=50)and a septic shock group(n=78)based on the disease severity. According to the survival status after 28 days,the patients were assigned into a survival group(n=77)and a death group(n=51). In the same period,119 individuals who experienced physical examination were included as the healthy control group. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay was used to detect serum TIM-3,PON-1,and GDF-15 in sepsis group patients within 24 hours of admission and in the healthy control group on the day of physical examination.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to screen for influencing factors. Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was plotted to analyze the predictive value of indicators for prognosis. The area under the curve(AUC)was compared using Z-test. Results The serum levels of TIM-3 and GDF-15 in sepsis group were higher than those in healthy control group,while the PON-1 was lower than that in healthy control group(P<0.01). The serum TIM-3 and GDF-15 in septic shock group were higher than those in normal sepsis group,and the PON-1 was lower than that in normal sepsis group(P<0.01). Compared with the survival group,the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation Ⅱ(APACHE Ⅱ)score,Sequential Organ Failure Assessment(SOFA)score,the level of TIM-3,and GDF-15 were higher(P<0.05),PON-1 was lower(P<0.05)in death group. Increased TIM- 3 and GDF-15 were independent risk factors for death in elderly sepsis patients(OR =3.167,95%CI:1.604-6.252,P=0.001;OR =2.942,95%CI:1.411-6.135,P=0.004),while increased PON-1 was a protective factor for death in elderly sepsis patients(OR =0.756,95%CI:0.631-0.905,P=0.002). The AUC of TIM-3,PON-1,and GDF-15 alone and combined to predict death were 0.830,0.826,0.828,and 0.950,respectively. The combined AUC surpassed the individual AUC(P<0.05). Conclusion Serum levels of TIM-3,PON-1,and GDF-15 are factors influencing death in elderly patients with sepsis,and combined detection has high predictive value for their death risk.
文章编号:     中图分类号:R631    文献标志码:A
基金项目:江苏省中医药学会科研项目(ZXFZ2024092)
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