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投稿时间:2025-07-30 网络发布日期:2026-04-02
投稿时间:2025-07-30 网络发布日期:2026-04-02
中文摘要: 目的探讨CT肺血管成像(CTPA)参数联合Wells评分对急性肺动脉栓塞(APE)短期预后的评估价值,并分析APE患者短期预后不良的影响因素。方法连续选取2022年1月至2024年5月安徽医科大学附属合肥医院收治的79例APE患者为研究对象,入院均完善CTPA检查,并记录CTPA参数。以抗凝治疗30 d内是否出现不良结局事件分为不良结局组(n=16)和良好结局组(n=63),比较两组临床资料。采用logistic多因素回归分析法筛选影响APE患者短期预后不良的危险因素,受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估CTPA参数联合Wells评分预测APE患者短期预后不良的效能。结果与良好结局组比较,不良结局组年龄≥60岁占比及Wells评分、右/左心室短轴最大径比值(RV/LV)、主肺动脉/主动脉内径比值(MPA/AO)、左/右肺动脉最大径线比值(LPA/RPA)、心肌肌钙蛋白I(cTnI)、N末端B型利钠肽前体(NT-proBNP)、肌酸激酶同工酶MB(CK-MB)水平均较高,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。多因素logistic回归分析显示,年龄≥60岁以及Wells评分、RV/LV、MPA/AO、LPA/RPA、cTnI、NT-proBNP、CK-MB 高是影响APE 患者短期预后不良的独立危险因素(P<0.05)。CTPA 参数联合Wells评分预测APE患者短期预后不良的效能[曲线下面积(AUC)=0.905]高于CTPA任一参数(RV/LV:AUC=0.813,Z=2.852,P<0.05;MPA/AO:AUC=0.806,Z=2.994,P<0.05;LPA/RPA:AUC=0.817,Z=2.846,P<0.05)或Wells评分(AUC=0.822,Z=2.756,P<0.05)的单独预测效能。结论CTPA参数联合Wells评分评估APE患者短期预后不良的效能高,可为临床早期干预APE及预后评估提供理论参考。
Abstract:Objective To explore the value of CT pulmonary angiography (CTPA) parameters combined with Wells score in the assessment of the short-term prognosis of acute pulmonary embolism (APE), and to analyze the influencing factors of poor short-term prognosis in patients with APE. Methods A total of 79 patients with APE who were admitted to Hefei Hospital Affiliated to Anhui Medical University from January 2022 to May 2024 were selected for the study, all patients underwent CTPA examination upon admission and the CTPA parameters were recorded. The patients were divided into the adverse outcome group (n=16) and the good outcome group (n=63) based on whether adverse outcome events occurred within 30 days of anticoagulation treatment, and the clinical data of two groups were compared. The logistic multivariate regression analysis method was used to screen out the risk factors that affected the poor short-term prognosis of APE patients, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the efficacy of the CTPA parameters combined with the Wells score in predicting the poor short-term prognosis of APE patients. Results Compared with the good outcome group, the proportion of patients aged≥60 years and the Wells score, the ratio of the maximum diameter of the right/left ventricles (RV/LV), the ratio of the inner diameters of the main pulmonary artery/aorta (MPA/ AO), the maximum diameter of the left/right pulmonary arteries (LPA/RPA), the levels of cardiac troponin I (cTnI), N- terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and creatine kinase-muscle/brain type (CK-MB) in the poor outcome group were all higher (P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age ≥ 60 years, as well as high Wells score, RV/LV, MPA/AO, LPA/RPA, cTnI, NT-proBNP and CK-MB were independent influence factors for poor short-term prognosis in patients with APE (P<0.05). In predicting poor short-term prognosis in APE patients, the combination of CTPA parameters and the Wells score (AUC=0.905) was superior to any individual CTPA parameter (RV/ LV: AUC=0.813, Z=2.852, P<0.05; MPA/AO: AUC=0.806, Z=2.994, P<0.05; LPA/RPA: AUC=0.817, Z=2.846, P<0.05) or the Wells score alone (AUC=0.822, Z=2.756, P<0.05). Conclusion The combination of CTPA parameters and Wells score has a high efficacy in assessing the poor short-term prognosis of APE patients, providing a theoretical reference for early clinical intervention and prognosis assessment of APE.
keywords: Acute pulmonary embolism Short-term prognosis CT pulmonary angiography Wells score Predictive value
文章编号: 中图分类号:R563.5 文献标志码:A
基金项目:安徽省重点研究与开发计划项目(201904a07020068)
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引用文本:
倪俊,陆武.CT肺血管成像参数联合Wells评分对急性肺栓塞患者短期预后的预测价值[J].中国临床研究,2026,39(3):404-408.
倪俊,陆武.CT肺血管成像参数联合Wells评分对急性肺栓塞患者短期预后的预测价值[J].中国临床研究,2026,39(3):404-408.
